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DICE — Development Initiative for Citizens Enlightenment

Accreditation stats

How many registered voters actually show up and get accredited.

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Fewer than 3 in 10 registered voters were accredited in 2023

Accredited ÷ registered, presidential elections
Accredited, 2023 (BVAS)
25,286,616
Accreditation rate, 2023
27.05%
Change since 2015
−20.0 pts
47.09% → 27.05%
201531,746,490 accredited of 67,422,005
47.1%
201929,364,209 accredited of 84,004,084
35.0%
202325,286,616 accredited of 93,469,008
27.1%
AccreditedRegistered but not accredited
Full analysis
Full analysis

Turnout by geopolitical zone, 2023

ICIR analysis of INEC results data
Highest zone
32.83%
North-Central
Lowest zone
22.30%
South-East
Gap between zones
10.5 pts
North-Central
32.83%
North-West
32.61%
North-East
30.39%
South-West
28.71%
South-South
23.28%
South-East
22.30%

The three northern zones turned out above 30%; the South-East and South-South trailed by roughly ten points. Zone turnout follows ICIR’s method and may differ slightly from INEC’s own turnout calculation.

Full analysis

Accredited voters vs. votes actually cast

Presidential elections
2015
31,746,490
29,432,083
2019
29,364,209
28,614,190
2023
25,286,616
24,965,218
AccreditedVotes cast
Turnout of register, 2015
43.65%
Turnout of register, 2019
34.06%
Turnout of register, 2023
26.71%

Closing the gap. In 2015, 2,314,407 more voters were accredited than votes were cast. With BVAS accreditation in 2023 the gap fell to 321,398, a sign of tighter alignment between accreditation and ballots.

National figures used on this page.
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Sources: INEC declared results (2015, 2019, 2023); zone turnout from ICIR analysis of INEC data. Percentages computed by DICE.